I offer my own simple, inaccurate and incomplete geopolitical narrative which I wrote early in 2021 on someone else’s blog… I thought I would post it here. It’s simple… but I hope that keeps it somewhat understandable.
Animals can’t move around, communicate, or stay alive in spacetime, without what we describe as energy. Energy allows you to go for a walk, communicate with someone on the other side of the world, and allows your body to make cellular transformations that keep you alive.
In nature, animals compete to settle differences. During competition they use energy. The energy supply available to these animals is not unlimited. The most efficient and effective user of energy wins. But the animals don’t usually compete such that they injure themselves so badly, that their very survival is at risk. They compete by expending energy to settle some difference, and once the difference has been settled, they immediately reduce their energy expenditure again.
Animals compete over short periods of time, so they don’t have to compete during the longer intervals of time between these periods of competition. Energy is not in endless supply for most animals in nature.
Human elites place artificial restrictions on our behaviour, these are the written and unwritten rules, laws and rituals which create the structure of our society etc. These restrictions force us to constantly compete with each other, but at a low level.
To compete, we use more energy than we otherwise would, but our energy output is carefully redirected by the structure of our society into production.
Like animals, most humans compete, so they don’t have to. Some compete for much of their lives, hoping to get to a place where they don’t have to compete so hard. It’s a dream that is dangled before all of us.
We are all looking for ways to reduce our energy expenditure, to reduce how hard we have to compete with everyone else. The 1st class train ticket, the house in the nicer part of town, the private jet, the exclusive restaurant, the executive lounge, the powerful car, the designer clothes, all allow you to rise above some of the lowest levels of competition. Many will compete, just so that they can retire as quickly as possible, and get as far away from those high levels of energy expenditure as soon as they can.
The elites control the structure of society, the laws, rules and rituals, and they have shaped them so that we compete against one another. Whilst redirecting the output of that competition in ways that suit them. And they must ensure we have enough energy available so that we can compete endlessly.
It was the Anglo Americans who monopolised the supply of oil, and gas which provides the energy any modern society needs to compete. This in turn allowed the Anglo Americans to control other countries around the world.
But oil and gas reserves were found elsewhere around the world, and particularly within countries that were not subservient to the Anglo Americans elites. Bit by bit the Anglo Americans lost control over the supply of oil and gas. Worse still, they found that the very oil & gas infrastructure of the societies that they had created over years, to control people and countries, were now being reversed and turned against them. Foreign elites were now supplying the very same energy that allowed endless competition, into the Anglo American elites very own countries. The worm had turned.
This crisis caused the Western elites to split into two schools of thought:
1. The old school group thought that things could go on as normal, that they could continue to control the supply of energy, if they just continued to take-over strategic foreign countries in military campaigns, or colour revolutions.
2. The new school group thought that they must change the structure of their societies (rules and laws) more fundamentally, end their dependence on old forms of energy (Oil, Natural Gas), and change from controlling the supply of energy, to controlling the consumption of energy.
After the 2008 crash, which demonstrated inequalities between global trading flows, the global elites finally agreed to move forward with the new school idea. But some of the US elites, mainly republicans, understandably didn’t like what this would mean for the USA, and decided they wanted to reverse course and pursue the old school ideas.
After all they reasoned, it was Europe which was in a tight spot for energy reserves. Continental USA had over 300 years of unconventional oil deposits available.
Why should the USA change course for Europe’s sake?
Trump became president, and changed course to the old school policy. Most of the other countries opposed Trump, including the other half of the US elites. Although Russia was fairly happy, as was Saudi Arabia. Both had plenty of oil and natural gas to sell, so the new school groups ideas were a major headache.
The new school group successfully worked to get rid of Trump and intends to try and neutralise the USA over the next 4 years, whilst accelerating the USA’s structural changes and energy changes, so that it will be almost impossible to reverse course again, should the US swing back to the Old School policies in 4 years time.
The unity amongst the western global elites to change seems pretty solid, probably because another Trump-type presidency frightens many of them, particularly in Europe. This acceleration of structural change, will be felt hardest by older first world western economies.
So that’s my incomplete, and incorrect narrative.
Thinking Deeper 